Smooth Transition Autoregressive Model. A Study Of Production Index Of Production Sector In Germany

de Behailu Shiferaw Benti 

eBook
Smooth Transition Autoregressive Model. A Study Of Production Index Of Production Sector In Germany
idioma: Inglês
Editor: GRIN Verlag
Edição: julho de 2019
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Academic Paper from the year 2017 in the subject Business economics - Miscellaneous, grade: 1.3, University of Wuppertal, language: English, abstract: The main aim of this seminar is to define, examine and present Smooth Transition Autoregressive Model (STAR) which is a model used to analyze nonlinear time-series economic data with regime-switching. In going forward, the overall structure of the seminar is designed to study the nonlinear features of production sector production index of Germany using data from January 1991 to April 2017. The author did first a Chow Test to evidence the existence of a data structural breakpoint. Then a model specification procedure given by Terasvirta (1994) was followed. The author used, accordingly, three steps to specify the model. First, a linear AR model was developed using the data. Secondly, a linearity test against the STAR model was carried out. Once a test of the null hypothesis of linearity against non-linearity is rejected by the carried out Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test, the delay parameter d was determined. Afterwards, a choice between the LSTAR and the ESTAR model was made using a sequence of tests. Finally, the estimation of the model is done. As the results from the set of tests indicate, the STAR model is found to be appropriate for modeling and analyzing the data.

Smooth Transition Autoregressive Model. A Study Of Production Index Of Production Sector In Germany
de Behailu Shiferaw Benti 
ISBN:
9783668975583
Ano de edição:
07-2019
Editor:
GRIN Verlag
Idioma:
Inglês
Tipo de Produto:
eBook
Formato:
PDF para ADE i
EAN:
9783668975583
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